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CO2-to-methanol synthesis unit (H2 + CO2 to Grade AA methanol, modular to world-scale)

Sizes a CO2 hydrogenation loop in MTPD: mass balance, electricity, heat and losses, installed CAPEX and levelised cost of methanol, on two sourced reference cases or your own quote.

  • CurrencyEUR 2014
  • Battery limitinstalled
  • 86 documented assumptions
  • Updated27 Oct 2026

Mass and energy balance

What the asset draws and delivers for the case and load you choose.

Reference case

Annual utilisation of nameplate capacity. Annual production is derived from this and from 8760 hours; the calculator carries no days-per-year constant. 91.3 % is the 8000 h/year of the JRC reference case.

Flows

  • In: Hydrogen—
  • In: Carbon dioxide—
  • In: Electricity—

Asset

CO2-to-methanol synthesis unit

  • Out: Methanol (Grade AA)—
  • Out: Process water—
  • Out: Purge off-gas—

Annual quantities at the current usage.

Nameplate methanol output of the synthesis island, in metric tonnes per day (MTPD) - the unit vendors print. Topsoe's ModuLite eMeOH tiers are 150 / 300 / 450 / 600 MTPD. The lower bound is 150 MTPD (Topsoe Tier 1): the cost law is anchored at 1 320 t/day (JRC), and below 150 MTPD it would extrapolate more than 8.8x under its anchor. Above 600 MTPD the model counts two trains but keeps the single-plant cost law.

Methanol production rate
— t/h
Hydrogen feed rate
— Nm3/h
CO2 feed rate
— Nm3/h
Number of modular trains
— trains

CAPEX

Specific cost at this size, what backs it, and how it behaves with scale.

Specific CAPEX at this size

—

Reference size 1,320 MTPD

Six-tenths rule as used by Mucci et al. for the methanol synthesis plant.

Model value: installed ISBL from the six-tenths law on the JRC anchor. Customized: your own installed ISBL per MTPD (vendor quote) replaces it, at every size, with no scaling law and no escalation applied. The figure is then no longer sourced.

Specific CAPEX by nominal methanol capacity

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  1. Ex-factory
  2. Installed· this figure
  3. Fully financed
CAPEX at the battery limit—
Working capital, contingencyproject level

Included

  • Equipment
  • Installation, civil works and engineering

Not included

  • Working capital
  • Contingency

Added at project level

  • Working capital layer, from the project settings
  • Contingency, from the project settings

Project figures

Values passed to project mode when this asset is added to a project.

Concept sketch, not to scale · drag to rotate

Hydrogen in
—
Carbon dioxide in
—
Electricity in
—
Methanol (Grade AA) outMain product
—
Process water out
—
Purge off-gas out
—
CAPEX to the battery limit
—
Fixed O&M
—
Variable O&M, excluding feedstocks
—
Asset lifetime
20 years

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Levelised cost of methanol

A standalone indicator for a quick read. Project mode recomputes it for the whole system.

—

  • LCOM - hydrogen—
  • LCOM - CO2—
  • LCOM - electricity—
  • LCOM - capital—
  • LCOM - fixed O&M—
  • LCOM - catalyst—

Linked to the balance above

Annual utilisation of nameplate capacity. Annual production is derived from this and from 8760 hours; the calculator carries no days-per-year constant. 91.3 % is the 8000 h/year of the JRC reference case.

Extra specific electricity at zero utilisation, applied linearly with the capacity factor. Default 0: no published part-load curve exists for a CO2-to-methanol loop, so the calculator imposes none and leaves the slider to the user.

Whether the CO2 and H2 make-up compressors belong to this asset. Calculator #244 excluded them; vendor loops include them. Switching to No removes their electricity and most of the compression CAPEX section.

Ratio of your cost-year plant index to the 2014 index. Model value: it multiplies the EUR2014 model capital cost. Customized: it is not applied to the quote; set it to the index ratio of the quote's year (x1.385 for a 2023 quote). In both cases the cost lines exported to project mode are divided by it, back to EUR2014, because project mode reads currency_year 2014 and inflates to the project year itself - nothing is escalated twice. Left at 1.00 by default: the references are EUR2014 (JRC) and EUR2021 (Mucci). The slider reaches 1.40, which covers the CEPCI annual average from 576.1 in 2014 to 797.9 in 2023 (x1.385, Chemical Engineering). CEPCI is a US dollar index: applying it to euro costs is an approximation the user makes knowingly.

EUR/kg

Delivered hydrogen price. This is the dominant cost line - about 62 % of the levelised cost at the nominal case. 2.7 EUR/kg is IRENA's USD 2.5-3/kg at 4 c/kWh, converted at the report's own USD 1 = EUR 0.9.

EUR/t

Delivered CO2 price at the battery limit. 50 EUR/t is Mucci's CO2 stream cost; IRENA gives USD 20-30/t from concentrated streams and USD 50-100/t with a capture unit.

EUR/MWh

Delivered electricity price for the loop's own consumption. Only the synthesis loop is inside the battery limit, so this is a minor line - the electrolyser's power is not counted here.

%

Annual fixed O&M as a percentage of all-in CAPEX. 5 % is Mucci's figure, corroborated by Hy2Market (10 EUR/t on 200 EUR/t of CAPEX) and by JRC (5.5 %); the 4-6 % range is the published band, not a wider guess. The detailed JRC build-up is reported alongside as a cross-check.

Real discount rate used for the capital recovery factor. All costs are in constant euros, so this must be a REAL rate; 8 % is JRC's, Mucci and Hy2Market use 5 %.

years

Economic life for the capital recovery factor. 20 years in JRC, Mucci and Hy2Market alike.

Levelised cost of methanol by capacity factor

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Benchmarks

This model's figures against published references and reference cases.

Reference cases at this size and usage

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All results

Every model output at the current settings, grouped, with the sensitivity charts.

64 outputs · 6 groups · 21 also shown above, dimmed

Flows

14
Annual methanol production
Computingt/year
Annual methanol production (kt)
Computingkt/year
Annual hydrogen purchased
Computingt/year
CO2 utilised
Computingt/year
Water by-product
Computingt/year
Purge and off-gas
Computingt/year
Hydrogen consumption per MTPD
ComputingNm3/h per MTPD
CO2 consumption per MTPD
ComputingNm3/h per MTPD
Specific hydrogen consumption
Computingt/t
Specific CO2 consumption
Computingt/t
Carbon efficiency
Computing%
Hydrogen efficiency
Computing%
Overall CO2 conversion of the published reference loop
Computing%
Recycle ratio implied by the case
Computing%

Energy

9
Specific electricity consumption
ComputingkWh/t
Electricity - CO2 make-up compression
ComputingkWh/t
Electricity - H2 make-up compression
ComputingkWh/t
Electricity - recycle compression and auxiliaries
ComputingkWh/t
Annual electricity consumption
ComputingMWh/year
Steam raised by the reactor
ComputingMWh/t
Cooling duty
ComputingMWh/year
LHV energy efficiency
Computing%
Heat and losses
ComputingMWh/year

Reactor

5
Catalyst inventory
Computingt
Catalyst bed volume
Computingm3
Catalyst bed diameter
Computingm
Catalyst bed height
Computingm
Annual operating hours
Computingh/year

Capital cost

16
Installed ISBL cost of the synthesis island
ComputingEUR
All-in project CAPEX
ComputingEUR
Installed ISBL exported to project mode (EUR2014)
ComputingEUR
All-in project CAPEX in EUR2014
ComputingEUR
Specific CAPEX
ComputingEUR per (t/day)
Specific CAPEX from the reference law
ComputingEUR per (t/day)
Specific CAPEX per annual tonne
ComputingEUR per (t/year)
CAPEX - compression section
ComputingMEUR
CAPEX - heat exchangers
ComputingMEUR
CAPEX - CO2 purification
ComputingMEUR
CAPEX - reactor and pressure vessels
ComputingMEUR
CAPEX - distillation and furnace
ComputingMEUR
CAPEX - turbines and pumps
ComputingMEUR
Layer-factor cross-check
Computingratio
Capital recovery factor
Computing1/year
Annualised CAPEX
ComputingEUR/year

Annual costs

9
Fixed O&M
ComputingEUR/year
Fixed O&M exported to project mode (EUR2014)
ComputingEUR/year
Fixed O&M - detailed build-up
ComputingEUR/year
Fixed O&M cross-check
Computingratio
Catalyst replacement
ComputingEUR/year
Hydrogen cost
ComputingEUR/year
CO2 cost
ComputingEUR/year
Electricity cost
ComputingEUR/year
Total annual cost
ComputingEUR/year

Other

11
Methanol production rate
Computingt/h
Number of modular trains
Computingtrains
Hydrogen feed rate
ComputingNm3/h
CO2 feed rate
ComputingNm3/h
Levelised cost of methanol
ComputingEUR/t
LCOM - hydrogen
ComputingEUR/t
LCOM - CO2
ComputingEUR/t
LCOM - electricity
ComputingEUR/t
LCOM - capital
ComputingEUR/t
LCOM - fixed O&M
ComputingEUR/t
LCOM - catalyst
ComputingEUR/t

Sensitivities

4 charts
Scale effect on cost

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Sensitivity to capacity factor

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Sensitivity to the hydrogen price

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Sensitivity to the CO2 price

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About

Calculator context

Screening techno-economics for a CO2-to-methanol synthesis loop: direct hydrogenation of carbon dioxide (CO2 + 3 H2 -> CH3OH + H2O, -49.6 kJ/mol) with make-up and recycle compression, a boiling-water reactor, a purge, a raw-methanol flash and distillation to Grade AA (99.85 wt %). The battery limit is the synthesis loop ONLY. Neither electrolysis nor CO2 capture is inside it: hydrogen and CO2 are purchased at the fence and declared as inlet flows, which is the same boundary the three cost references use (JRC EUR 27629 EN excluding its electrolysis section, Mucci et al. 2023, and IRENA 2021 whose Table 21 states that the cost of the methanol plant does not include hydrogen production).

Capacity is entered in MTPD, the unit vendors print, so that catalogue products bind directly - Topsoe's ModuLite eMeOH tiers are 150, 300, 450 and 600 MTPD. Annual production is derived from the capacity factor and 8760 hours; no days-per-year constant exists anywhere in the model.

Two reference cases set the hydrogen utilisation, CO2 utilisation and single-pass conversion. Topsoe ModuLite eMeOH Tier 1 (the catalogue product, default): 98.6 % and 97.2 %, back-calculated from the 13 300 and 4 500 Nm3/h Topsoe prints at 150 MTPD, with JRC's 22 % per pass because Topsoe does not print one; meeting the printed utilisation at that per-pass conversion implies a 99.2 % recycle ratio, which the model uses for the recycle flow (JRC: 98.1 %, against Mucci's printed 98 %). JRC EUR 27629: 93.8 % and 93.8 %, back-calculated from 123 000 and 41 000 Nm3/h at 1 320 t/day, and 22 % per pass (Table 2).

At the nominal case (Topsoe Tier 1, 150 MTPD, 91.3 % capacity factor, hydrogen at 2.7 EUR/kg, CO2 at 50 EUR/t, electricity at 80 EUR/MWh, 8 % real over 20 years) the model returns 88.7 Nm3/h of hydrogen and 30.0 Nm3/h of CO2 per MTPD, that is 13,302 and 4,498 Nm3/h at 150 MTPD, against the 13 300 and 4 500 Nm3/h Topsoe prints on its brochure - the inputs of the case, so this is a closure check, not a validation. Annual production is 49,987 t, i.e. 50.0 kt - not 54 750 t and not 18.25 Mt, the two magnitudes a days-per-year slip produces. LHV efficiency is 84.5 %, specific electricity 170 kWh/t, heat and losses 50,827 MWh/year (1.02 MWh/t, an LHV energy gap, not a sum of the steam and cooling duties), installed island ISBL 33.2 MEUR2014 (221,129 EUR per t/day, 664 EUR per t/year), and the levelised cost 835 EUR/t, of which hydrogen 517, CO2 71, capital 151, fixed O&M 74, catalyst 10 and electricity 14 EUR/t. IRENA puts current e-methanol at USD 800-1 600/t (720-1 440 EUR/t at the report's own rate) and Hy2Market's base case at about 920 EUR/t.

The model CAPEX is a six-tenths law on the JRC anchor (exponent 0.6 held as a constant, from Mucci et al., reference size 1 320 t/day). The exponent acts on the TOTAL cost, so the SPECIFIC cost carries -0.4 and falls with scale. The Customized option replaces it with your own installed ISBL per MTPD, taken as entered at every size, with no scaling and no escalation; the figure is then no longer sourced. Both return an INSTALLED ISBL at the same battery limit. A toggle decides whether the CO2 and H2 make-up compressors belong to the asset, because the calculator this one replaces excluded them while vendor loops include them; turning it off removes their electricity and, through a derived duty split, most of the compression CAPEX section.

Two figures are reported as explicit cross-checks rather than as results: the layer cascade used here (x2.23 on ISBL, Towler & Sinnott via JRC) against Mucci's single x1.85 on bare-module costs, and the detailed JRC fixed-O&M build-up against the flat 5 % of CAPEX. Both compare totals against totals. The standalone levelised cost stacks that x2.23 on the ISBL, while project mode, reading battery_limit = installed, adds only about x1.17 - declared, not an error. One divergence is left open and stated: IRENA writes that the conversion step alone costs only USD 30-50 per tonne once hydrogen and CO2 are provided, while this factorial estimate gives about 235 EUR/t at 150 MTPD. That factor of 2 to 5 is real, it sits between a sector consensus and a bottom-up estimate, and the Customized option exists so that a vendor quote can replace the estimate.

Limits. The on-site power recovery that reconciles 262 kWh/t of gross compression work with JRC's printed 177 kWh/t net is calibrated on that single point (evidence medium). The utilisation values are back-calculated from printed feed rates, not printed by anyone. The catalyst bed dimensions rest on an assumed length-to-diameter ratio of 2 and feed nothing but themselves. The capacity slider starts at 150 MTPD, at most 8.8x under the 1 320 t/day cost anchor: smaller units, such as the 1 t/day MefCO2 demonstrator, do not bind to this calculator, by design. Above 600 MTPD the model counts two trains but keeps the 0.6 law as for a single plant, because the JRC anchor is a single train. Costs are in EUR2014 and no CEPCI index is applied. Outside the declared CAPEX envelope the calculator REFUSES the point through invalid_input; it never clamps the output, because a clamp is exactly what hid the sign error in the calculator this one replaces.

Model

215 variables — inputs, calculations and outputs, with their dependencies.

215 variables shown of 215
VariableValueUnitDepends on
150MTPD—
91.3%—
1——
0%—
1——
0——
221000EUR/MTPD—
1ratio—
2.7EUR/kg—
50EUR/t—
80EUR/MWh—
5%—
0.08ratio—
20years—
VariableFormulaUnitDepends on
if((<=)+(<=)+(>)+(<)+(>)+(<)+(<)+(>)+(<)+(>)+(<=)+(<)+(<)+(<)+(<)+(<)+(<)+(<=)+(>=)*((<)+(>))>,,)bool
clamp(+**(-*),,)—
*/max(,)t/t
/max(,)t/t
/max(,)t/t
*/max(,)/max(,)*/max(,)t/t
*/max(,)/max(,)*/max(,)t/t
/max(,)*%
/max(,)*%
if(==,,)%
if(==,,)%
%
**kg/h
**kg/h
(*+)/max(+,)kg/kmol
(/max(,))^(/max(,))—
/max(,)—
/max(,)—
*(/max(-,))*(*/max(,))*(^((-)/max(,))-)/max(,)*kWh/t CO2
(/max(-,))*(*/max(,))*(^((-)/max(,))-)/max(,)*kWh/t H2
(/max(-,))*(*/max(,))*(^((-)/max(,))-)/max(,)*kWh/t gas
(/max(,)-)*(+)t/t
*kWh/t
*kWh/t
*kWh/t
++kWh/t
if(>=,,)—
*(+)+kWh/t
(/max(,)-)*(+)t/t
*+*+*kWh/t
-/max(,)—
*MWh/year
**MWh/t
*MWh/t
*MWh/t
/max(,)m3
/max(,)—
+++++MEUR
*/max(,)EUR per (t/day)
if(>=,,(/max(,))^)—
*^*MEUR
*^MEUR
*^MEUR
*^MEUR
*^MEUR
*^MEUR
+++++MEUR
if(>=,*/max(,),*)MEUR
/max(,)—
**MEUR
+MEUR
**MEUR
**MEUR
**MEUR
++MEUR
+MEUR
/max(,)—
***EUR/year
***EUR/year
*EUR/year
**EUR/year
(+)**EUR/year
VariableFormulaUnitDepends on
/max(,)t/h
**h/year
*t/year
/max(,)kt/year
ceil(/max(,))trains
/max(*,)t/t
/max(*,)t/t
*/max(,)*/max(,)Nm3/h per MTPD
*/max(,)*/max(,)Nm3/h per MTPD
*Nm3/h
*Nm3/h
*t/year
*t/year
*t/year
((-)+(-))*t/year
/max(,)*%
/max(,)*%
*/max(-**(-*),)*%
(-/max(,))/max(-*,)*%
*(-)*kWh/t
**(-)*kWh/t
**(-)*kWh/t
*(-)*kWh/t
**MWh/year
abs()*(/max(,))*MWh/t
*MWh/year
/max(+,)*%
(+-)*MWh/year
*/max(,)t
*/max(,)m3
(*/max(*,))^(/max(,))m
*m
*^(-)EUR per (t/day)
*MEUR
*MEUR
*MEUR
*MEUR
*MEUR
*MEUR
*EUR
/max(,)EUR per (t/day)
/max(,)EUR per (t/year)
*EUR
/max(,)ratio
if(<,/max(,),(*(+)^)/max((+)^-,))1/year
*EUR/year
**EUR/year
/max(,)EUR
/max(,)EUR
/max(,)EUR/year
++++EUR/year
/max(,)ratio
**/max(,)EUR/year
**EUR/year
*EUR/year
*EUR/year
+++++EUR/year
/max(,)EUR/t
/max(,)EUR/t
/max(,)EUR/t
/max(,)EUR/t
/max(,)EUR/t
/max(,)EUR/t
/max(,)EUR/t

Assumptions

86 assumptions used in the calculations

  • Prevents division by zero and NaN propagation in every guarded denominator.

    Market range Not applicable (numerical parameter).

    0.000001
    Numerical stability constant.
  • The DSL forbids inline magic numbers; complements and unit sums are written with this constant.

    Market range Exact.

    1
    Arithmetic identity.
  • Used by the make-up compression on/off branch and by guard expressions.

    Market range Exact.

    0
    Arithmetic identity.
  • All percent inputs are carried 0-100 (OJ convention) and converted here, never relabelled.

    Market range Exact.

    0.01frac/%
    Unit conversion.
  • Converts a computed fraction back to the percent unit used by the reported efficiencies.

    Market range Exact.

    100%
    Unit conversion.
  • Capacity-factor annualisation basis. The calculator carries NO days-per-year constant: the apparent 365 of the #244 bug is 8760/24 and is written as such.

    Market range 8760 (non-leap year); 8784 (leap year).

    8760h/year
    Calendar-year hours convention.
  • Turns the MTPD capacity into an hourly rate. This single constant replaces the x365 kta->kg/day slip that #244 carried.

    Market range Exact.

    24h/day
    Time conversion.
  • Mass unit conversion used across the mass balance.

    Market range Exact.

    1000kg/t
    Unit conversion.
  • Reports annual production in kt/year, the unit the market and calculator #244 used.

    Market range Exact.

    1000t/kt
    Unit conversion.
  • Capital costs are carried in MEUR and reported in EUR.

    Market range Exact.

    1000000EUR/MEUR
    Unit conversion.
  • Specific electricity is carried in kWh/t and annualised in MWh/year.

    Market range Exact.

    0.001MWh/kWh
    Unit conversion.
  • Converts the methanol LHV and the reaction enthalpy to MWh for the energy efficiency.

    Market range Exact (1/3600).

    0.000278MWh/MJ
    Unit conversion.
  • Used for the catalyst bed geometry.

    Market range Exact.

    3.141593
    Mathematical constant.
  • Drives the adiabatic compression work of the make-up and recycle compressors.

    Market range Exact by definition since 2019.

    8.314J/(mol.K)
    CODATA 2022 fundamental constant.
  • Denominator of every specific quantity of the calculator.

    Market range Exact for the natural isotopic mix.

    32.0419kg/kmol
    NIST Chemistry WebBook.
  • Stoichiometric CO2 demand and the CO2 volumetric conversion.

    Market range Exact for the natural isotopic mix.

    44.0095kg/kmol
    NIST Chemistry WebBook.
  • Stoichiometric H2 demand and the H2 volumetric conversion.

    Market range Exact for the natural isotopic mix.

    2.01588kg/kmol
    NIST Chemistry WebBook.
  • Water is the stoichiometric by-product of CO2 hydrogenation; it is reported, not priced.

    Market range Exact for the natural isotopic mix.

    18.0153kg/kmol
    NIST Chemistry WebBook.
  • Converts the mass balance into the Nm3/h that vendor datasheets print. This is the unit guard of the whole calculator: at 15 degC (23.645 Nm3/kmol) Topsoe's printed H2 consumption would fall BELOW stoichiometry, which is impossible.

    Market range 22.414 at 0 degC / 1 atm; 23.645 at 15 degC; 24.055 at 20 degC.

    22.414Nm3/kmol
    CODATA 2022.
  • Three moles of hydrogen per mole of methanol; the whole hydrogen balance rests on it.

    Market range Exact.

    3kmol/kmol
    Reaction stoichiometry.
  • Exothermic heat removed by the boiling-water reactor, and the steam it raises.

    Market range -49.2 to -49.8 kJ/mol across handbooks.

    -49.6kJ/mol
    Peer-reviewed review of CO2 hydrogenation pathways.
  • Numerator of the LHV energy efficiency.

    19.9MJ/kg
    IRENA 2021 fuel property table.
  • Dominant energy input of the loop: the hydrogen carries about 97 % of the energy entering this battery limit.

    Market range 33.3 MWh/t (119.96 MJ/kg).

    33.3MWh/t
    IRENA 2021.
  • Single calibration point of the electricity model: the on-site power recovery fraction is set so that the compression model reproduces this figure at the JRC flowsheet's own feed rates.

    Market range 0.177 MWh/t (JRC) to 0.182 MWh/t (Mucci et al. 2023, 1.8 MW for 9.9 t/h).

    177kWh/t
    JRC reference CO2-to-methanol flowsheet, 1 320 t/day.
  • Reported for utility sizing; it is not priced inside the levelised cost.

    Market range 0.862 MWh/t (JRC) to 1.39 MWh/t (Mucci, 13.8 MW for 9.9 t/h).

    0.862MWh/t
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Published recycle ratio of the reference loop. It feeds only the reference overall conversion (93.4 % with JRC's 22 % per pass); the recycle flow the calculator compresses uses the recycle ratio implied by the selected case, which closes on that case's CO2 utilisation (98.1 % for JRC, 99.2 % for Topsoe).

    98%
    Reference methanol synthesis plant of Mucci et al. 2023.
  • Divides the ideal adiabatic work of every compressor in the loop.

    0.75
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Sets the specific work of each compression stage through R.T/M.

    298.15K
    Screening assumption aligned with intercooled compression.
  • Number of intercooled stages on the CO2 make-up train.

    4stages
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Suction pressure of the CO2 make-up compressor.

    Market range 1 bar from a capture unit; 15-30 bar if the CO2 arrives from a pipeline.

    1bar
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Suction pressure of the H2 make-up compressor - the typical delivery pressure of a pressurised electrolyser.

    30bar
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Discharge pressure of both make-up trains and of the recycle compressor.

    78bar
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Loop pressure. With the 78 bar discharge it sets the pressure the recycle compressor has to restore.

    76bar
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Ratio of specific heats in the adiabatic work of the CO2 make-up compressor.

    1.289
    NIST Shomate coefficients.
  • Ratio of specific heats for the H2 make-up compressor and for the hydrogen-rich recycle gas (75 mol % H2).

    1.405
    NIST Shomate coefficients.
  • Scale of the reference flowsheet, and the scale at which its ISBL is priced.

    Market range World-scale methanol trains run 1 500-5 000 t/day.

    1320t/day
    JRC reference plant.
  • Independent reference feed rate, used to calibrate the on-site power recovery at the JRC flowsheet's own conditions.

    Market range 93.2 Nm3/h per MTPD, against Topsoe's printed 88.7.

    123000Nm3/h
    JRC reference plant.
  • Independent reference feed rate on the carbon side.

    Market range 31.1 Nm3/h per MTPD, against Topsoe's printed 30.0.

    41000Nm3/h
    JRC reference plant.
  • Largest modular train on the market; above it the calculator counts trains rather than pretending one vessel exists.

    600MTPD
    Topsoe ModuLite eMeOH, Tier 4.
  • Sizes the catalyst inventory and its annual replacement cost.

    33.7kg/(t/day)
    Derived from a single printed pair of the same JRC page.
  • Turns the catalyst inventory into a bed volume, then into reactor bed dimensions.

    Market range 1 000-1 300 kg/m3 for Cu/ZnO/Al2O3 pellets.

    1060kg/m3
    Derived from two figures printed on the same JRC page.
  • Only dated, printed price found for this catalyst; kept even though it is high for a bulk Cu/ZnO/Al2O3.

    Market range Bulk quotes are often cited at 20-50 EUR/kg, but none of them is dated and printed.

    95.2EUR/kg
    JRC price table.
  • Annualises the catalyst charge.

    1year
    JRC operating-cost assumption.
  • Turns the catalyst bed volume into a reported diameter and height.

    2
    AI
  • Reference scale of the power-law CAPEX.

    Market range 1 320 t/day = 482 kt/year at full load.

    1320t/day
    JRC reference plant.
  • Largest section of the synthesis island, and the only one the make-up compression toggle touches.

    Market range 38.3 % of the 122.3 MEUR island ISBL.

    46.8MEUR
    JRC Figure 5, read against the printed ISBL total.
  • Second largest section; the loop is heat-integrated, so exchanger area dominates alongside compression.

    Market range 38.8 % of the island ISBL.

    47.4MEUR
    JRC Figure 5.
  • Guard bed and drying on the CO2 make-up, retained because captured CO2 is never synthesis-grade as delivered.

    Market range 11.0 % of the island ISBL.

    13.5MEUR
    JRC Figure 5.
  • The reactor itself is a small part of a synthesis island; the money is in compression and heat transfer.

    Market range 1.9 % of the island ISBL.

    2.3MEUR
    JRC Figure 5, two sections grouped.
  • Purification to Grade AA methanol and its reboiler duty.

    Market range 7.2 % of the island ISBL.

    8.8MEUR
    JRC Figure 5, two sections grouped.
  • Power recovery machinery and pumps. These turbines are the hardware behind the on-site power recovery this calculator calibrates.

    Market range 2.9 % of the island ISBL.

    3.5MEUR
    JRC Figure 5, two sections grouped.
  • First layer above the battery limit of the synthesis island.

    35%
    Towler & Sinnott factorial method as applied by JRC.
  • Design and project management layer.

    20%
    Towler & Sinnott via JRC.
  • Contingency layer.

    30%
    Towler & Sinnott via JRC.
  • Working capital layer, annualised with the rest of the capital.

    15%
    Towler & Sinnott via JRC.
  • Independent factorial convention, reported as a check ratio against this calculator's own layer cascade rather than substituted for it.

    1.85
    Mucci et al. 2023.
  • First term of the detailed fixed-O&M route used as a cross-check on the flat percentage.

    3%/year
    Towler & Sinnott via JRC.
  • Second term of the detailed fixed-O&M route.

    2%/year
    Towler & Sinnott via JRC.
  • Operating labour of the detailed fixed-O&M route. Held constant with capacity: a synthesis loop is manned per shift, not per tonne.

    5operators
    JRC operating-cost table.
  • Fully loaded cost of one operator, EUR2014.

    Market range 60 000-95 000 EUR/year across western European sites.

    78000EUR/year
    JRC operating-cost table.
  • Third term of the detailed fixed-O&M route.

    25%
    Towler & Sinnott via JRC.
  • Fourth term of the detailed fixed-O&M route.

    45%
    Towler & Sinnott via JRC.
  • Lower clamp of the part-load multiplier.

    Market range Not applicable.

    1
    Model guard.
  • Upper clamp of the part-load multiplier.

    Market range Not applicable.

    1.5
    Model guard.
  • Turns the specific compression work of each machine into the kWh per tonne the energy balance reports.

    Market range Exact (1000/3600).

    0.277778(kWh/t)/(kJ/kg)
    Unit conversion.
  • Single-pass conversion of the REFERENCE flowsheet, held fixed so that the power-recovery calibration is anchored on JRC's own operating point and does not move with the user's inputs. It is also the per-pass conversion of BOTH reference cases: Topsoe does not print a per-pass conversion for ModuLite eMeOH, so the Topsoe Tier 1 case reuses JRC's 22 %.

    22%
    JRC reference flowsheet.
  • Cube root exponent of the catalyst bed diameter.

    Market range Exact.

    3
    Arithmetic identity.
  • Geometry coefficient of the catalyst bed diameter.

    Market range Exact.

    4
    Arithmetic identity.
  • Exponent of the power law on the TOTAL installed ISBL: ISBL = ISBL_ref x (S/1 320)^0.6, so the SPECIFIC cost varies as S^-0.4. Held as a model constant, not an input: a scale law is defended or not written. Evidence medium because the source applies the textbook rule rather than regressing it on plant costs.

    Market range Two cost points only: JRC at 1 320 t/day and Mucci at about 238 t/day (80 kt/year), the latter about 0.6x the JRC law at that size on a different costing basis.

    0.6ratio
    Six-tenths rule as used by Mucci et al. for the methanol synthesis plant.
  • Integer identifier of a reference case: the DSL carries no strings.

    Market range Not applicable.

    1
    Internal enumeration.
  • Integer identifier of a reference case: the DSL carries no strings.

    Market range Not applicable.

    2
    Internal enumeration.
  • Hydrogen utilisation of the Topsoe Tier 1 case. Topsoe prints a feed rate, not a utilisation; the value is derived against stoichiometry.

    Market range 93.8 % (JRC) to 98.6 % (Topsoe) across the two reference cases.

    98.6%
    Derived from a printed vendor feed rate.
  • Carbon utilisation of the Topsoe Tier 1 case, derived against stoichiometry from the printed CO2 feed rate.

    Market range 93.8 % (JRC) to 97.2 % (Topsoe); Mucci Table A.3 implies 88.3 % but prints no per-pass conversion, so it is not offered as a case.

    97.2%
    Derived from a printed vendor feed rate.
  • GUARD, not a clamp. A Customized vendor quote that implies a specific CAPEX below this floor is REFUSED through invalid_input - the output is never squashed back into range. Calculator #244 clamped instead, and that clamp is what hid the wrong sign on its scaling exponent.

    Market range The JRC anchor scaled over 150-1000 MTPD with the 0.6 exponent spans about 103 500-221 100 EUR/(t/day) in EUR2014, up to about 309 600 at 150 MTPD with the x1.40 escalation cap; the Mucci family sits about 0.6x as high.

    60000EUR per (t/day)
    Derived from the two published cost anchors of this calculator.
  • GUARD on user-entered CAPEX: a quote above this ceiling is refused rather than clamped. It is the highest specific CAPEX the sourced cost law reaches in current-year euros at the smallest size of the domain; it also rejects a x365 unit slip on the capacity. The Customized slider stops at the same value.

    Market range About 103 500-309 600 EUR/(t/day) for the JRC family over the declared capacity domain and escalation range.

    310000EUR per (t/day)
    Derived from the two published cost anchors of this calculator.
  • SCOPE. This calculator models the SYNTHESIS LOOP ONLY: make-up and recycle compression, boiling-water reactor, purge, raw-methanol flash and distillation to Grade AA (99.85 wt %). Neither electrolysis nor CO2 capture is inside it - hydrogen and CO2 are PURCHASED inputs, declared as inlet flows so that project mode prices them or chains them to an upstream asset.

    Market range Not applicable (scope statement).

    —
    Battery limit of the three published cost references used here.
  • CAPEX BOUNDARY. costs.capex.isbl exports the INSTALLED ISBL of the synthesis island, and costs.capex.battery_limit is declared 'installed'. Project mode therefore adds working capital plus contingency (about x1.17 at default settings) and nothing else. The all-in figure this calculator computes for its own levelised cost is exported separately as isbl_plus_osbl, which project mode never consumes. The user-specific CAPEX input is documented as an ISBL figure for exactly this reason: entering an all-in EPC price there would over-count the project CAPEX by roughly 17 %.

    Market range Not applicable (contract statement).

    —
    Towler & Sinnott factorial layers as applied by JRC.
  • SINGLE-POINT CALIBRATION, declared as such. The adiabatic compression model returns 261.8 kWh/t of GROSS shaft work at the JRC flowsheet's own feed rates, against the 177 kWh/t of NET electricity JRC reports. The difference is on-site power recovery - the JRC flowsheet carries turbines, 2.7 % of its island ISBL, and a steam-raising reactor. This calculator models it as a fixed 32.4 % recovery on gross compression work, fitted on that ONE point. It is not validated on two independent designs, and it is not a measured efficiency.

    Market range No published split between gross shaft work and recovered power was found for this process.

    —
    Calibrated, not sourced. Evidence level medium.
  • NO STEAM CREDIT. The boiling-water reactor raises 0.430 MWh of steam per tonne of methanol and the distillation reboiler consumes essentially all of it. Net steam export is therefore zero by default and no steam revenue enters the levelised cost. Selling the steam while still paying for distillation would count the same energy twice.

    Market range A genuine surplus exists only with a different heat integration, which is outside this screening model.

    —
    Heat balance of the reference flowsheets.
  • FLOW VERSUS OPEX. Hydrogen, CO2 and electricity are declared as INLET FLOWS, so project mode prices them. They are therefore absent from costs.opex: the meta exports only fixed O&M and the catalyst charge as OPEX. The hydrogen, CO2 and electricity costs this calculator reports are for ITS OWN levelised cost, which project mode does not read.

    Market range Not applicable (contract statement).

    —
    Meta contract of the project mode.
  • DECLARED DOMAIN. The bounds shipped with this calculator describe the PUBLISHED market envelope for flows and efficiency, and the sourced CAPEX envelope: 87-96 Nm3/h of H2 and 29-34 Nm3/h of CO2 per MTPD, 76-88 % LHV efficiency, 60 000-310 000 EUR/(t/day) of specific CAPEX (the JRC anchor at 150 MTPD brought to 2023 with CEPCI) and 450-2 300 EUR/t of levelised cost. Executed over the 16 384 corners of the input box (capacity 150-1000 MTPD, both reference cases, both CAPEX sources, escalation 1.00-1.40), every bound holds: 88.7-93.2 and 30.0-31.1 Nm3/h per MTPD, 80.1-86.6 % LHV, 60 000-310 000 EUR/(t/day) and 463-2 251 EUR/t. The highest levelised cost sits at 1 000 MTPD, 50 % capacity factor, the JRC case, a 310 000 EUR/(t/day) Customized quote (taken flat at every size, so it carries no scale benefit), 6 EUR/kg hydrogen, 150 EUR/t CO2, 12 % over 15 years and 6 % fixed O&M; it lies above the published 720-1 440 EUR/t because every cost input sits at its worst at once. A Customized cost outside the CAPEX envelope is refused, not clamped.

    Market range Published e-methanol costs: USD 800-1 600/t (IRENA), about 920 EUR/t (Hy2Market base case), 0.90-2.02 EUR/kg (Mucci across scenarios).

    —
    Corner enumeration over the declared input ranges.
  • CAPACITY DOMAIN. The catalogue sheet admits products down to 1 MTPD, but this calculator's slider starts at 150 MTPD, the Topsoe Tier 1 nominal and the only catalogue product - at most 8.8x under the 1 320 t/day JRC cost anchor. Below it the six-tenths law would extrapolate far under every cost point the bundle cites, which is not defensible in front of a financier; smaller units (including the 1 t/day MefCO2 demonstrator the catalogue sheet admits) do not bind to this calculator, by design. Should a source price a unit under 150 MTPD, the domain can be reopened. Above 600 MTPD the model counts two trains (n_trains) but keeps applying the 0.6 law continuously, as for a single plant, because the JRC anchor is a single-train plant. The domain is narrowed rather than the output clamped - clamping is what hid the sign error in calculator #244.

    Market range Modular Power-to-X units run 150-600 MTPD; world-scale methanol trains run 1 500-5 000 t/day on syngas, a different technology.

    —
    Validity limit of the cost law, not of the chemistry.
  • WHAT THIS REPLACES. Calculator #244 carried two defects: a x365 conversion from kta to kg/day, and a POSITIVE exponent on the SPECIFIC CAPEX, so its cost per tonne per day rose with plant size. A floor clamp at 60 000 EUR/(t/day) then masked the sign error above about 400 t/day. This calculator changes the capacity unit to the MTPD the market prints, so that catalogue products bind; derives annual production from the capacity factor with no hidden days-per-year constant; puts the exponent where it belongs, on the total cost; refuses rather than clamps outside its validity envelope; and ships expected values on its nominal case and bounds on five outputs, which is what the gates needed in order to catch either defect.

    Market range Not applicable (scope statement).

    —
    Defect history of the calculator this one replaces.
  • DEFAULTS ARE DERIVED, NOT PRINTED. Neither Topsoe nor anyone else prints a utilisation: the 98.6 % and 97.2 % defaults are BACK-CALCULATED from Topsoe's printed 13 300 and 4 500 Nm3/h at 150 MTPD against stoichiometry. Evidence level medium, not high. Real carbon utilisation across published flowsheets spans about 88 to 97 %, which is flowsheet dispersion rather than measurement noise - hence the reference-case selector (Topsoe Tier 1 or JRC) rather than a free slider.

    Market range Carbon utilisation 93.8 % (JRC) and 97.2 % (Topsoe) in the two reference cases; 88.3 % (Mucci) reported, not offered.

    —
    Derived from printed vendor feed rates.
  • COST YEAR. Capital costs are in EUR2014, the year of the JRC reference, and the meta declares currency_year 2014. No escalation is applied by default. The escalation slider lets the user apply one up to x1.40, which covers the CEPCI ratio 2023/2014 = 797.9/576.1 = 1.385, so a current-year model CAPEX is reachable: at 150 MTPD it is 221 129 x 1.385 = 306 300 EUR per MTPD. CEPCI is a US dollar plant index; applying it to euro costs is an approximation, stated here. The escalation factor multiplies the model value only; a Customized quote is taken as entered, in the user's own cost year, and the user sets the factor to that year's index ratio. Project mode reads currency_year 2014 and inflates to the project year itself, so the meta exports ISBL, all-in CAPEX and fixed O&M divided by the factor, back to EUR2014: no cost is escalated twice.

    Market range CEPCI x1.385 from 2014 to 2023 (annual averages); the 2022 peak, 816.0, would give x1.42.

    —
    Cost year of the reference sources.
  • OPEN DIVERGENCE ON THE CAPITAL COST. IRENA writes that, once hydrogen and CO2 are provided, methanol synthesis and distillation represent only USD 30-50 per tonne of methanol. The Towler & Sinnott factorial estimate this calculator builds gives about 100 EUR/t at world scale and about 235 EUR/t at 150 MTPD - a factor of 2 to 5 above the consensus. Mucci's own anchor sits about half as high as the JRC one scaled to the same size, and Mucci writes that 'the capital cost is probably underestimated'. The user sees both: the levelised cost is built on the bottom-up route, the divergence is stated here, and the Customized option lets a vendor quote replace the estimate entirely.

    Market range Specific CAPEX 200-700 USD per (t/year) for large methanol plants (ADI Analytics via Mucci); 350 EUR/(t/y) at 80 kt/year (Mucci); 664 EUR/(t/y) here at 150 MTPD.

    —
    Comparison of three published cost bases at a common battery limit.