Energy mass balanceCostingSolar
Solar thermal collector field for heat
Sizes a flat-plate or evacuated-tube collector field delivering 60-110 degC heat, and levelizes its cost in EUR/MWh_th. Calibrated against the measured Danish fleet.
Levelized heat cost
Levelized cost of heat (LCOH)
Annualised capex plus O&M plus pump electricity, divided by the heat actually delivered
Heat cost versus the published European benchmark
Levelized cost relative to the ~60 EUR/MWh reported for Central-European solar district heat
Real discount rate used for the capital recovery factor. 4 % with 100 % credit financing is the basis of the published Central-European solar district heat cost comparison.
DEA gives 30 years for all scenarios and both uncertainty bounds; note I: minimum 25-30 years, proven on plants still in operation.
Annual operation and maintenance as a percent of installed capex. IEA SHC Task 54 recommends 1-2 %/year; measured Danish fields sit below 1 EUR/MWh_th, so 1 % is already conservative.
Total annual cost
Annualised capex plus fixed O&M plus auxiliary electricity
Annualised capex
Installed capex converted to an equivalent annual payment
Fixed O&M
Annual maintenance as a share of installed capex
Auxiliary electricity cost
Pump electricity valued at the entered electricity price
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Field cost and siting
Gross collector area, the international standard basis (DEA note L). If you only have aperture area, divide by the aperture/gross ratio of your collector (~0.93 large flat plates, ~0.81 for the measured Apricus evacuated tube) before entering it here.
Variable term of the installed field cost per gross m2. 167 = DEA 2015 Danish regression. IEA SHC Task 68 (2024, eight manufacturers, 10,000 m2, supply below 110 degC) reports 320-700 EUR/m2 for Central Europe.
Size-independent part of the DEA regression 250,000 EUR + 167 EUR/m2 for Danish plants below 50,000 m2. This term, not a power law, carries the economy of scale.
Land purchase or capitalised lease per m2 of GROUND (3 m2 of ground per m2 of collector). Zero by default: the DEA basis this calculator is built on already carries land purchase inside its 7% land-and-groundworks element, so price land here only for a lease, or for land costs beyond that share.
Installed field capex
Turnkey collector field, ground works, piping, heat exchanger, controls, design — plus land if priced
Installed capex per gross m2
All-in field cost per m2 including the size-independent term and any land
Field capex per m2 (excluding land)
Specific term plus the fixed term spread over the field — the DEA cost scope
Land cost
Ground area multiplied by the land price — zero by default, because the DEA basis already carries land purchase in its 7% land-and-groundworks element
Installed capex versus the 2024 supplier range
Installed cost per m2 relative to the 320 EUR/m2 lower bound reported by eight manufacturers
Ground area required
Land footprint including row spacing and access
Diurnal storage capex (NOT in the LCOH)
Separate budget the field also needs — reported here so the exclusion is visible, not silent
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Solar resource and collector physics
Annual irradiation on the HORIZONTAL plane at the site. PVGIS-SARAH2 2016-2020: Wurzburg 1225, Aarhus 1030, Graz 1308, Lyon 1419, Sevilla 1908.
Ratio of in-plane to horizontal annual irradiation for the chosen tilt. PVGIS: 1.166 Wurzburg 35 deg, 1.193 Aarhus 40 deg, 1.198 Graz 35 deg, 1.173 Lyon 35 deg, 1.155 Sevilla 30 deg.
Certified eta0 from the collector datasheet (EN ISO 9806 / Solar Keymark). 0.777 = the DEA reference flat plate. Evacuated tube: 0.75. High-performing flat plate: 0.80.
Certified a1 from the collector datasheet. 2.41 = DEA reference flat plate; 1.0 = high-performing evacuated tube; 3.0 = high-performing flat plate; 4.0 = medium-performing flat plate.
Certified a2 from the collector datasheet. 0.015 = DEA reference flat plate; 0.005 evacuated tube; 0.008 high-performing flat plate.
Arithmetic mean of collector inlet and outlet temperature over the year. This is the single most powerful lever on yield: every 10 K raises the thermal loss and cuts the field efficiency.
Annual mean ambient air temperature at the site, weighted towards operating hours. Only the difference with the fluid temperature matters.
In-plane irradiation
Annual irradiation on the tilted collector plane
Design temperature difference
Mean collector fluid temperature minus mean ambient temperature
Thermal loss at design temperature
First and second order losses at the design temperature difference
Annual collector efficiency
Certified efficiency curve evaluated at the annual effective irradiance and the design temperature difference
Thermal-loss load penalty
How much more aperture the operating temperature costs versus a loss-free collector
Evacuated-tube reference efficiency
What a high-performing evacuated-tube field would reach at this same temperature
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Annual heat delivered
Share of collected heat actually delivered rather than dumped when demand is below production. A design choice, not a collector loss: without storage a field covers only 5-8 % of annual demand, with a diurnal store 10-25 %.
Annual heat delivered
Main product: solar heat handed to the network or the process, after dumping
Specific heat yield
Delivered heat per gross m2 of collector — the number to compare against a published plant
Annual field efficiency (on horizontal irradiation)
Delivered heat as a share of the horizontal irradiation on the same area, the basis DEA publishes
Heat collected before dumping
What the field takes from the sun, before demand matching is applied
Heat dumped or stagnated
Collected heat the network cannot absorb — the cost of oversizing against summer demand
Equivalent full-load hours
Annual heat divided by the field's nominal thermal capacity
Nominal thermal capacity
Field output at the 1000 W/m2 rating condition and zero temperature difference
Yield versus the Danish measured fleet
Specific yield relative to the 450 kWh/m2/yr average of 40 measured Danish plants
Field efficiency versus the Danish measured fleet
Annual field efficiency relative to the published 43 % fleet average
Auxiliary electricity
Circulation-pump electricity per MWh of solar heat collected. DEA: 3-4 kWh per produced MWh, about 0.3 % of heat output.
Delivered electricity price for the pumps. DEA note R: 63 (2015), 69 (2020), 101 (2030) EUR/MWh, production and transport excluding taxes.
Effective auxiliary electricity intensity
Pump electricity per MWh of heat actually delivered, dumped heat included
Annual auxiliary electricity
Circulation-pump consumption — the only inlet this asset has
About
Calculator context
About
Calculator context
A collector field is the only solar asset whose product is heat rather than electricity, and it is sized in square metres of glass, not in watts-peak. This calculator takes that seriously: the physics is the certified EN ISO 9806 efficiency curve (eta0, a1, a2) evaluated at the site's irradiation and at the temperature the network actually asks for, and the economics is the IEA SHC Task 54 levelized-cost definition applied to a turnkey installed field.
What it computes. In-plane irradiation from the site GHI and the tilt gain; the annual collector efficiency from the certified curve at the annual effective irradiance; a derating chain for incidence and soiling, collector-loop losses, other field losses and the share of collected heat the network can actually absorb; then the delivered heat, the field efficiency referenced to horizontal irradiation, the installed capex from an affine cost regression, and the levelized cost of heat.
Reference case (10,000 m2 gross at Wurzburg, 1,225 kWh/m2/yr horizontal, tilt gain 1.17, flat plate 0.777 / 2.41 / 0.015, 60 degC mean fluid against 10 degC ambient, 95 % utilisation, 250,000 EUR + 167 EUR/m2, 1 %/yr O&M, 4 % real over 30 years): 520.6 kWh/m2/yr specific yield, 5,206 MWh/yr delivered, 42.5 % of horizontal irradiation, 192 EUR/m2 installed, and 25.27 EUR/MWh_th.
Why you can defend those numbers. The model is calibrated against two independent published anchors, not against itself. Fed with the Danish Energy Agency's own site conditions it returns 453 kWh/m2/yr and 43.3 % against a measured fleet average of 450 kWh/m2/yr and 43 % across 40 plants: 0.7 % error. Move the specific capex to 400 EUR/m2, the middle of the 2024 IEA SHC Task 68 supplier range, and it returns 52 EUR/MWh_th against a published Central-European figure of around 60 EUR/MWh, below 50 for simple ground-mounted low-temperature designs. The same parameter set reproduces a measured physical yield and two separate cost worlds.
Cost basis, stated plainly. The default capex is the DEA regression on built Danish plants, 250,000 EUR + 167 EUR/m2, in 2015 EUR, and it is an INSTALLED turnkey figure: ground levelling, buried field piping including 50 m of transmission pipe, heat exchanger, collection tank, controls, electrical works, design and project management, start-up. No installation or owner-cost factor is applied on top of it, because that would double-count. The economy of scale is carried by the fixed term, not by a power law: specific capex falls from 292 EUR/m2 at 2,000 m2 to 172 EUR/m2 at 50,000 m2, reproducing DEA's own published size table within 0.5 %.
What is deliberately outside the levelized cost, and reported anyway so the omission is visible: diurnal storage, which a field of this kind needs and which DEA prices separately at roughly 0.2 m3 per m2 of collector and 135 EUR/m3; land, exposed as its own input at zero by default because the DEA basis excludes it; and seasonal storage, which is a different asset. Ground area is reported too, at three m2 of land per m2 of collector.
Limits. This is a steady-state annual-average model: no hourly simulation, no storage dynamics, no explicit solar fraction. Demand matching enters only through the utilisation rate, which is a design choice you make, not a collector property. Incidence angle and soiling are one annual factor rather than an hourly model. It is calibrated on Northern and Central European conditions and should be re-anchored below about 35 degrees of latitude. The size input is GROSS collector area, the international standard basis: if you only have aperture area, convert it first with your own collector's ratio (about 0.93 for large flat plates, 0.81 on the measured evacuated-tube certificate cited here).
Model
83 variables — inputs, calculations and outputs, with their dependencies.
Model
83 variables — inputs, calculations and outputs, with their dependencies.
| Variable | Value | Unit | Depends on |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10000 | m2 | — | |
| 1225 | kWh/m2/year | — | |
| 1.17 | ratio | — | |
| 0.777 | ratio | — | |
| 2.41 | W/m2/K | — | |
| 0.015 | W/m2/K2 | — | |
| 60 | C | — | |
| 10 | C | — | |
| 95 | % | — | |
| 250000 | EUR | — | |
| 167 | EUR/m2 | — | |
| 0 | EUR/m2 | — | |
| 1 | % | — | |
| 3.5 | kWh/MWh_th | — | |
| 69 | EUR/MWh | — | |
| 0.04 | ratio | — | |
| 30 | years | — |
| Variable | Formula | Unit | Depends on |
|---|---|---|---|
**** | ratio | ||
* | kWh/m2/year | ||
if((<=)+(<=)+(<)+(<=)+(>)+(<)+(<)+(<=)+(<=)+(>)+(<)+(<=)+(<)+(<)+(<)+(<)+(<)+(<=)+(<=)>,,) | bool | ||
* | m3 | ||
/max(,) | EUR/m2 | ||
* | EUR | ||
if(<,/max(,),(*(+)^)/max((+)^-,)) | ratio | ||
if((>=)*(<=)>,,) | flag |
| Variable | Formula | Unit | Depends on |
|---|---|---|---|
- | K | ||
* | kWh/m2/year | ||
*+** | W/m2 | ||
max(,-/max(,)) | ratio | ||
clamp(/max(,),,) | ratio | ||
* | kWh/m2/year | ||
** | MWh/year | ||
*/max(,) | % | ||
/max(*,) | MWh/year | ||
- | MWh/year | ||
/max(*,) | kWh/MWh_th | ||
** | MWh/year | ||
*** | kW | ||
*/max(,) | h/year | ||
max(,-(*+**)/max(,)) | ratio | ||
* | m2 | ||
* | EUR | ||
clamp(+,,) | EUR/m2 | ||
* | EUR | ||
+ | EUR | ||
/max(,) | EUR/m2 | ||
** | EUR/year | ||
* | EUR/year | ||
* | EUR/year | ||
++ | EUR/year | ||
/max(,) | EUR/MWh_th | ||
/max(,) | ratio | ||
/max(,) | ratio | ||
/max(,) | ratio | ||
/max(,) | ratio |
Assumptions
54 assumptions used in the calculations
Assumptions
54 assumptions used in the calculations
Guards every division and every clamp denominator against zero.
Market range Not applicable (numerical parameter).
0.000001Numerical stability constant.Neutral element used instead of an inline literal in the DSL.
Market range Exact.
1Dimensionless unit.Comparison floor used in the input guard and in the efficiency clamp.
Market range Exact.
0Dimensionless zero.Converts the percent-scale inputs (utilisation, O&M) into fractions.
Market range Exact.
0.01Percent convention (OpenJack: percent inputs are 0-100).Upper bound of a percent input and scale factor of the field efficiency output.
Market range Exact.
100%Percent convention.Converts specific yields and auxiliary electricity from kWh to MWh.
Market range Exact.
0.001MWh/kWhSI prefix conversion.Converts annual heat to kWh for the equivalent full-load hours.
Market range Exact.
1000kWh/MWhSI prefix conversion.Converts the peak collector power density from W to kW.
Market range Exact.
0.001kW/WSI prefix conversion.The certified efficiency curve is instantaneous and rated at 1000 W/m2. An annual yield must be evaluated at the energy-weighted mean irradiance actually seen by the field; using 1000 W/m2 overstates the annual yield by roughly 35 %.
Market range500W/m2Two independent justifications converge on 500 W/m2. Arithmetic: a European field receives ~1250 kWh/m2/yr in plane and operates ~2500 h/yr above cut-in. Calibration: 500 W/m2 is the value that reproduces the measured Danish fleet average of 450 kWh/m2/yr.Rating irradiance of the certified collector curve; used here only to express the field's nominal thermal capacity (eta0 x 1 kW/m2), the basis on which solar thermal capacity is normally quoted.
Market range Exact (standard test condition).
1000W/m2EN 12975-2 / EN ISO 9806 standard rating condition, restated in DEA ch. 46 figure 3.Single annual factor lumping the incidence-angle modifier and soiling. A per-hour incidence model is out of scope for a screening tool.
Market range0.9Screening value consistent with the incidence and soiling losses embedded in the Solar Keymark / Scenocalc annual outputs.Collector-loop piping and heat-exchanger losses between the absorber and the delivery point.
Market range0.97SDH Guidelines fact sheet 3.3 performance-guarantee equation, worked example fP = 0.97.Non-ideal flow distribution, transients and unforeseen losses across a large field.
Market range0.95SDH Guidelines fact sheet 3.3, worked example fO = 0.95.Cap on the thermal-loss load penalty. At an operating temperature high enough to zero the efficiency curve the ratio would diverge; the cap keeps the reported figure finite without touching the yield, which is already clamped at zero.
Market range Not applicable (numerical parameter). It does not bite anywhere in the declared input domain.
50Numerical guard, not a physical parameter.Zero-loss efficiency of a high-performing evacuated-tube collector, used for the side-by-side reference efficiency at the same operating temperature.
Market range0.75SDH Guidelines fact sheet 7.1, table 7.1.1 (high performing ETC: 0.75 / 1.0 / 0.005).First-order loss of the reference evacuated-tube collector.
Market range1W/m2/KSDH Guidelines fact sheet 7.1, table 7.1.1.Second-order loss of the reference evacuated-tube collector.
Market range0.005W/m2/K2SDH Guidelines fact sheet 7.1, table 7.1.1.Lower guard rail on the installed specific capex, well below any published field cost.
Market range No published European field has ever been built below ~120 EUR/m2 gross.
50EUR/m2Guard rail, not a market value.Plafond numérique du coût spécifique mis à l'échelle. Il est placé STRICTEMENT au-dessus du maximum atteignable dans la boîte d'entrée déclarée — 800 EUR/m2 de coût spécifique plus 2 000 000 EUR de coût fixe répartis sur 1 000 m2, soit 2 800 — pour qu'il ne morde jamais sur un point que l'utilisateur peut atteindre. À 900 il mordait dès 650 EUR/m2 et gelait la LCOH pendant que le curseur de coût bougeait.
Market range Task 68 (2024) reports 320-700 EUR/m2; small or complex fields can exceed it.
3000EUR/m2Guard rail, not a market value.Land footprint for siting: row spacing and access alleys mean a field occupies about three times its collector area.
Market range3m2 ground / m2 collectorDEA ch. 46 note J: space requirement is approximately 3 m2 for each m2 of gross collector area.Diurnal storage volume a field of this kind normally needs. Reported here but deliberately NOT included in the levelized cost, because the cost basis of this model excludes it.
Market range0.2m3/m2DEA ch. 46 notes D and M: diurnal storage is mandatory, typically 0.1-0.3 m3 per m2 of collector.Tank storage cost used to size the separate storage budget the field will also need.
Market range135EUR/m3AIMeasured benchmark the model is calibrated against and reported against: the average output of 40 Danish solar heating plants.
Market range450kWh/m2/yearDEA ch. 46 data sheet 'Collector output' = 450 (2015), 473 (2020); note A states it is the measured fleet average.Measured annual field efficiency referenced to HORIZONTAL irradiation, which is why this calculator reports its efficiency on the same basis: the output is directly comparable to a published measurement.
Market range43%DEA ch. 46 data sheet 'Total efficiency, net (%), annual average' = 43 % (2015), 45 % (2020).Lower edge of the published specific-yield band, used to flag a result that leaves the observed envelope.
Market range300kWh/m2/yearDEA ch. 46, citing Furbo et al. 2018 for 2012-2015 Danish plants.Upper edge of the published specific-yield band for Danish conditions.
Market range600kWh/m2/yearDEA ch. 46, citing Furbo et al. 2018.Published Central-European solar district heat cost, used as the reference the levelized cost is reported against.
Market range60EUR/MWhSolarthermalworld / Solites cost comparison: around 60 EUR/MWh over 25 years excluding subsidies; below 50 EUR/MWh for simple ground-mounted low-temperature designs.Lower bound of the 2024 European supplier range, used to place the modelled installed cost against a current market quote rather than only against 2015 Danish prices.
Market range320EUR/m2IEA SHC Task 68 RA1 (2024), eight manufacturers, 10,000 m2 gross field, supply temperature at or below 110 degC: 320-700 EUR/m2.Default zero-loss efficiency: the flat-plate collector DEA uses as its reference.
Market range0.777DEA ch. 46 figure 3 caption: 'example with G=1.000 W/m2, eta0=0.777, a1=2.41, a2=0.015', from the Solar Keymark certificate database.Default first-order loss coefficient of the DEA reference flat plate.
Market range 1.0 (high-performing ETC) to 4.0 (medium-performing FPC) per SDH table 7.1.1.
2.41W/m2/KDEA ch. 46 figure 3 caption (Solar Keymark FPC data).Default second-order loss coefficient of the DEA reference flat plate.
Market range 0.005 (ETC) to 0.015 (reference FPC).
0.015W/m2/K2DEA ch. 46 figure 3 caption (Solar Keymark FPC data).Alternative collector class the user can type in: high-performing flat plate 0.80 / 3.0 / 0.008.
Market range eta0 0.75-0.80, a1 3.0-4.0, a2 0.008-0.010 across the flat-plate classes in table 7.1.1.
0.8SDH Guidelines fact sheet 7.1, table 7.1.1 (collector B); the same set drives the fact sheet 3.3 worked guarantee example.Default site irradiation (Wurzburg, Germany), representative of a Central-European district-heating network.
Market range Aarhus 1030, Wurzburg 1225, Graz 1308, Lyon 1419, Sevilla 1908 kWh/m2/yr from the same query.
1,225.4kWh/m2/yearPVGIS v5.2 (PVGIS-SARAH2, 2016-2020 average) annual horizontal irradiation.Default in-plane gain over horizontal for a fixed tilt around 35 deg.
Market range1.17PVGIS v5.2 in-plane / horizontal annual ratios: 1.166 Wurzburg 35 deg, 1.193 Aarhus 40 deg, 1.198 Graz 35 deg, 1.173 Lyon 35 deg, 1.155 Sevilla 30 deg.Default mean collector fluid temperature, the low end of the 60-110 degC district-heating / process window this asset targets.
Market range60CScope of the calculator: a low-temperature district-heating return-to-supply duty.Default share of collected heat actually delivered. A design choice: it stands in for storage sizing and demand matching, which this steady-state model does not simulate.
Market range95%DEA ch. 46: without storage the solar share is 5-8 % of annual demand; with a diurnal store of 0.1-0.3 m3/m2 it reaches 10-25 %.Size-independent term of the installed-cost regression. It, and not a power law, is what makes the specific cost fall with field size.
Market range250000EURDEA ch. 46 note C: 'Applying the formula 250,000 EUR + 167 EUR/m2 solar panel collector for plants <50.000m2'. Figure 10 shows an alternative fit of 0.5 MEUR + 180 EUR/m2 on solvarmedata.dk plant data.Variable term of the installed-cost regression, per gross m2.
Market range 167 EUR/m2 (Denmark, 2015 prices) up to 320-700 EUR/m2 (IEA SHC Task 68, 2024, Central Europe).
167EUR/m2DEA ch. 46 note C. Scope per note H, which is an inclusion list: ground levelling, buried field piping including 50 m of transmission pipe, heat exchanger with collection tank and expansion, control and electrical works, design and project management, start-up and documentation. Note H says nothing about land, seasonal storage or VAT; the DEA methodology excludes land RENT for centralised plants, while note O of the same chapter puts 'land purchase, ground works' at 7% of an indicative cost distribution.Published installed cost at the typical plant size, the point against which the affine form was checked.
Market range193EUR/m2DEA ch. 46 note G, 2015 prices by plant size: 5,000 m2 = 216 EUR/m2; 10,000 = 193; 20,000 = 180; 50,000 = 175; 100,000 = 170.Upper bound of the 2024 European supplier range. Documented rather than wired in: it is the value to type into the specific capex input for a pessimistic Central-European case.
Market range700EUR/m2IEA SHC Task 68 RA1 (2024), figure 30, eight manufacturers, 10,000 m2 gross field.Default fixed O&M, set at the LOWER edge of the recommended band on purpose: the measured Danish figure is far lower still, so 1 %/yr is already the conservative reading and 2 %/yr is the defensible pessimistic case.
Market range1%IEA SHC Task 54 Info Sheet A01: 'Usually 0.01*I0 < M < 0.02*I0'.Default circulation-pump electricity per MWh of heat collected.
Market range3.5kWh/MWh_thDEA ch. 46: '3-4 kWh pr. produced MWh solar heating, primarily electricity consumption for circulation pumps'; data sheet auxiliary electricity 0.3 % of heat generation.Default delivered electricity price for the pumps.
Market range69EUR/MWhDEA ch. 46 note R: 63 (2015), 69 (2020), 101 (2030), 117 (2050) EUR/MWh, production costs and transport tariffs excluding taxes and RES subsidies.Default real discount rate.
Market range0.04ratioCentral-European solar district heating cost comparison: 25-year amortisation at 4 % with 100 % credit financing.Default technical and economic lifetime.
Market range30yearsDEA ch. 46 data sheet: 30 years for all years and both uncertainty bounds; note I: minimum 25-30 years, proven on plants still in operation.Instantaneous collector efficiency: eta = eta0 - a1.dT/G - a2.dT^2/G, with dT the difference between the mean fluid and the ambient temperature and G the global in-plane irradiance. Clamped at zero: a field hot enough to zero the curve produces nothing, it does not produce negative heat.
Market range Universal across certified collectors; the parameters, not the form, vary.
—The certified curve of EN 12975 / EN ISO 9806, identical in the SDH Guidelines (eq. 3.3.1) and in DEA ch. 46 footnote 26.Levelized cost of heat = (CRF x installed capex + fixed O&M + auxiliary electricity) / annual delivered heat, with CRF = r(1+r)^N / ((1+r)^N - 1) and a guarded 1/N branch at r = 0.
Market range Standard across levelized-cost studies; the assumptions dropped here are the ones a financier will ask about first.
—IEA SHC Task 54 Info Sheet A01 eq. (1), reduced to the annuity form under Task 54's own conventions: no subsidy (S0 = 0), no corporate tax or depreciation (TR = DEP = 0), no residual value (RV = 0), constant real O&M, analysis period equal to the technical lifetime. Formal reduction: (I0 + C.AF)/(E.AF) = (I0.CRF + C)/E with AF = 1/CRF.The size input is GROSS collector area, not aperture area. Every cost and yield figure grounded here is per gross m2, so mixing an aperture-area input with gross-area costs would silently inflate both capex and yield per m2.
Market range Aperture/gross ratio is technology-specific: about 0.93 for large flat plates, and 1.41/1.74 = 0.81 on the measured Apricus evacuated-tube certificate. It must not be hardcoded across both.
—DEA ch. 46 note L: 'The collector area is, cf. international standards, stated as gross area'. Solar Keymark annual outputs are also quoted per gross area.Model validation, anchor 1: fed with DEA's own site conditions (GHI 1046 horizontal, tilt gain 1.193 for Aarhus at 40 deg, dT 50 K) and all other defaults, the model returns 453.2 kWh/m2/yr and 43.3 % of GHI.
Market range Second check with PVGIS' own Aarhus GHI (1030) gives 446.3 kWh/m2/yr, still within 1 % of the measurement.
453.2kWh/m2/yearAgainst DEA's published measured fleet values of 450 kWh/m2/yr and 43 %: an error of 0.7 %.Model validation, anchor 2: with the specific capex moved to 400 EUR/m2 (mid Task 68 range) and no fixed term, the model returns 52.4 EUR/MWh_th.
Market range52.4EUR/MWhAgainst the published Central-European figure of around 60 EUR/MWh over 25 years excluding subsidies, and below 50 EUR/MWh for simple ground-mounted low-temperature designs.The default capex is stated in 2015 EUR, the base year of the DEA regression that sets it. Escalate it, or replace it with a current quote, before taking a levelized cost to a lender.
Market range The gap between the two cost worlds is roughly a factor two, which is far larger than any escalation index over the period.
2015yearDEA ch. 46 gives 2015 prices; IEA SHC Task 68 gives 2024 prices; the default electricity price is DEA's 2020 figure. All three are exposed as inputs.Steady-state annual-average model. No hourly simulation, no storage dynamics, no explicit solar fraction or demand matching; dumping is represented only by the utilisation rate. Incidence angle and soiling are lumped into one annual factor rather than modelled per hour.
Market range A field whose solar fraction is the binding question needs an hourly model; use this one to size the field and bound the cost.
—Scope decision: this calculator is a screening instrument against Excel and consulting time, not a replacement for an hourly system simulation.Excluded from the levelized cost: diurnal storage (reported separately), seasonal storage, land (available as an explicit input, zero by default), VAT, and any subsidy.
Market range Diurnal storage adds roughly 27 EUR/m2 of collector at DEA prices, about 14 % on top of the Danish field capex.
—DEA note H scope, and IEA SHC Task 54's convention of excluding subsidies from LCoH.Chaining: the single outlet is heat and the single inlet is electricity, so no inlet and outlet of this asset share a commodity and no same-commodity chaining rule is needed. The electricity inlet is driven by an adjustable input, so project mode gets a real knob rather than a read-only link.
Market range Not applicable here.
—OpenJack chaining policy: an asset whose inlet and outlet carry the same commodity must state which upstream is legitimate and what the link coefficient means.
Sources
7 external sources
Sources
7 external sources
- Danish Energy Agency — Technology Data for Generation of Electricity and District Heating, ch. 46 Solar District Heating (efficiency curve, measured 450 kWh/m2/yr fleet, 250,000 EUR + 167 EUR/m2 regression)
- Solar District Heating Guidelines (PlanEnergi / Solites) — fact sheet 3.3 collector power equation and fP/fO loss factors, fact sheet 7.1 collector parameter table
- IEA SHC Task 54 — Info Sheet A01, Levelized Cost of Heat for solar thermal applications (LCoH definition, O&M band 1-2 % of I0)
- IEA SHC Task 68 — Report RA1, Solar Collector Technologies for District Heating (2024): 320-700 EUR/m2 for a 10,000 m2 field from eight manufacturers
- EC Joint Research Centre — PVGIS v5.2 (PVGIS-SARAH2, 2016-2020): horizontal and in-plane annual irradiation used for the GHI defaults and tilt gain factors
- Solar Keymark certificate SC0064-19 (RISE) — measured EN ISO 9806 parameters and Scenocalc annual outputs per gross area at 25/50/75 degC
- Solarthermalworld / Solites — Central Europe solar district heating cost comparison: ~60 EUR/MWh over 25 years at 4 %, below 50 EUR/MWh for simple ground-mounted low-temperature fields